Its over, the other side WON, and I must Congratulate them for a hard fought victory. Yes, as I was driving to swim practice, I saw the Sun Coming up Wed. Morning.
I am kind of a numbers guy as well and living in Texas was very curious to see how the "polsters" came up with their numerology.
Everyone is tossing around this "white Voters" percentage as being 72%, but I went to Census figures and looked at population as whole from the Census. I think this 72% is inflated and the real number is closer to 64%.
Total Pop 308 Million USA as of 2010, per Census...
White 197 Million, or 64%
Hisp/Latin 50 Million or 16 %
Black 39 Million or 13 %
Asian 14 Million or 5%
Other 6 Million or 2%
Interesting Note from Census numbers, Hispanic population from 2000 to 2010 increased by 50%, thats right 5-0 % their numbers are really growing, and White population growth for same period was 1.2%, not sustainable whites are dying faster than reproducing.
Cross Reference these numbers with % voting for Obama/Romney and some interesting trends come up.
Obama received about 52.4 % of the Total Vote.
White voters Obama (39%) of (64%) or Total % of Election 25%
Black Voters Obama (98%) of (13%) or Total % of Election 12.7%
Lat/Hisp/Asia Obama ( 64%) of (23%) or Total % of Election 14.7%
Doing math (14.7%/23%= 63.9%) says Obama got 64% of Hispanic/Other /Asian vote
Adds up to 25% + 12.7% + 14.7% = 52.4 % of Population voted Obama for President.
I have run the numbers and for Romney to win last Tuesday, He would have needed 51% of Combined Hispanics, Asian and Other...Multi racial categories voters to win.
He missed the mark, only receiving, 36% of other than white, black vote.
White (61%) of vote x (64%) of population = ( 39%)
of 51 % needed to Win Presidency.
at this point he only needs 12% points,
Instead he comes up short.. with only 47.6%
Black (2%) x (13%) = (00.3%)
Hispanic (36% of Hispanic/Asian/Others) x (23%) = (08.3%)
Totals 47.6 % and he loses the election ....
Lets assume No Republican can achieve more than 2% of black voters, then the Republican party needs to find the common Experience to connect with Hispanic, Asian and Multi Racial voters to achieve 51% of their vote last Tues and beyond.
Republicans didn't do that, and going forward with Birth rates, and rates of growth from 2000 Census, to 2010 Census.... They must "connect" and "gain loyalty" of Hispanic/Asian Voters, and their children!!!
As greater numbers of White voters age, they become more liberal, forgiving, and dependent of Federal Government (Medicare, Health, Drugs, Etc). Blacks have been very steady for many years at 12-13% of the population.
Hispanics, presently (20%) of voters, are growing quickly with higher birth rates and within the next 20 years Hispanics/Latin voters will grow even with White Voters.
If this happens and they stay with current (Voting Percentages).
No Republican will ever be elected to National Office !!!!!!
States such as, Texas, Florida, Louisiana, Arkansas and most likely OK will be Democratic at the State Level, Gov., Sen. and House of Reps will reflect these population and voting trends.
Republicans, need to do some "soul searching" in espanol!!
There is a reason why you have to pick "1" for English, and "2" for Spanish when you call the bank, or pretty much anywhere. In 10 years it might be "uno" for Espanol, and "dos" for English !!
Kevin Overton
